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· NFL · College Football · Hoops preview

Half Point Club #1: Where Every Half Point Matters (opens on beehiiv)

Three is still the number, and this week the dog owns the hook. We walk five college football lines for Saturday and the NFL Week 8 board with consensus and DraftKings numbers side by side, flag where a book charges extra to stay on 3 (the Juice Tax), and keep every injury note labeled "per reports." Our NFL model did not beat the closing line in testing, so every lean is low confidence.

— H.P. Marsh
· Welcome

Welcome to Half Point Club (opens on beehiiv)

Where every half point matters and nobody sells locks. H.P. Marsh explains the plan: weekly college football and NFL lines with receipts for every figure, honest scorecards that include the misses, and an out-loud "can't verify" when a number can't be checked. No guarantees, no hype.

— H.P. Marsh